The ABM is used to assess household income and wealth derived from agricultural production of lowland, rain-fed paddy rice and upland field crops in Nang Rong District as well as remittances returned to the household from family migrants who are engaged in off-farm employment in urban destinations. The design of an Agent-Based Model (ABM) is described that integrates Social and Land Use Modules to examine population-environment interactions in a former agricultural frontier in Northeastern Thailand. Walsh, Stephen J Malanson, George P Entwisle, Barbara Rindfuss, Ronald R Mucha, Peter J Heumann, Benjamin W McDaniel, Philip M Frizzelle, Brian G Verdery, Ashton M Williams, Nathalie Xiaozheng, Yao Ding, Deng PMID:25061240ĭesign of an Agent-Based Model to Examine Population-Environment Interactions in Nang Rong District, Thailand. The differences between our virtual villages and the real villages of the region indicate effects of bounded rationality and limits on model applications. The variation in responses to climate change indicates potential sensitivity to initial conditions and path dependence for this type of system. Most villages reduced the amount of land under cultivation, primarily with reduction in jasmine rice, but others did not. Villages changed their agricultural effort in many different ways. The socioeconomic dynamics are endogenous in the system, and climate changes were added as exogenous drivers. The land use choices in the model depended on likely economic outcomes, but included elements of bounded rationality in dependence on household demography. An agent based model developed for the Nang Rong district was used to simulate land allotted to jasmine rice, heavy rice, cassava, and sugar cane. The effects of extended climatic variability on agricultural land use were explored for the type of system found in villages of northeastern Thailand.
Yao, Xiaozheng Entwisle, Barbara Rindfuss, Ronald R. Our study examines a wide array of…Ĭhanging crops in response to climate: virtual Nang Rong, Thailand in an agent based simulation We focus on different dimensions of migration, including distance and duration. Using data from two postfrontier rural settings, Nang Rong, Thailand (N = 2,538), and Chitwan Valley, Nepal (N = 876), this article examines agricultural push factors determining the out-migration of young people age 15 to 19. Piotrowski, Martin Ghimire, Dirgha Rindfuss, Ronald
Results show that remittances sent from migrants (especially female migrants)…įarming Systems and Rural Out-Migration in Nang Rong, Thailand, and Chitwan Valley, Nepal Using data from the Nang Rong Projects social survey (N = 4,989), this work examines the effect of migrant remittances on household splits in an agrarian district of Thailand, a developing country experiencing tremendous economic, demographic, and social transformations. Migrant Remittances and Household Division: The Case of Nang Rong, ThailandĮRIC Educational Resources Information Center
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